Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000421 0.000468 0.000520 0.000582 0.000655 0.000738 0.000839
2024-12-22 0.000342 0.000405 0.000481 0.000579 0.000707 0.000870 0.001098
2024-12-29 0.000298 0.000369 0.000459 0.000585 0.000763 0.001012 0.001402
2025-01-05 0.000269 0.000344 0.000445 0.000595 0.000820 0.001163 0.001761
2025-01-12 0.000241 0.000316 0.000421 0.000584 0.000843 0.001265 0.002071
2025-01-19 0.000226 0.000305 0.000418 0.000601 0.000911 0.001453 0.002599
2025-01-26 0.000204 0.000279 0.000391 0.000577 0.000903 0.001507 0.002882
2025-02-02 0.000192 0.000268 0.000382 0.000581 0.000945 0.001661 0.003451
2025-02-09 0.000184 0.000261 0.000381 0.000597 0.001011 0.001882 0.004294
2025-02-16 0.000176 0.000254 0.000379 0.000609 0.001073 0.002110 0.005302
2025-02-23 0.000171 0.000251 0.000382 0.000631 0.001158 0.002421 0.006810
2025-03-02 0.000164 0.000243 0.000376 0.000636 0.001207 0.002658 0.008275
2025-03-09 0.000153 0.000229 0.000359 0.000620 0.001210 0.002789 0.009526
2025-03-16 0.000145 0.000221 0.000351 0.000621 0.001256 0.003069 0.011879
2025-03-23 0.000139 0.000215 0.000347 0.000629 0.001320 0.003438 0.015409
2025-03-30 0.000134 0.000209 0.000345 0.000639 0.001395 0.003886 0.020578
2025-04-06 0.000127 0.000200 0.000333 0.000627 0.001407 0.004116 0.024817
2025-04-13 0.000124 0.000198 0.000334 0.000647 0.001512 0.004782 0.036093
2025-04-20 0.000116 0.000186 0.000317 0.000620 0.001474 0.004815 0.040214
2025-04-27 0.000113 0.000182 0.000313 0.000624 0.001534 0.005346 0.055345
2025-05-04 0.000110 0.000180 0.000315 0.000642 0.001642 0.006212 0.087190
2025-05-11 0.000108 0.000177 0.000314 0.000655 0.001742 0.007143 0.141333
2025-05-18 0.000106 0.000177 0.000318 0.000680 0.001890 0.008552 0.278699